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Frequently asked questions
Keeping More...
Frequently asked questions
Keeping skill affects the ability of a keeper to make a save. Actually, this skill is relevant only if a shot by an opponent is accurate. If the shot is not accurate or the ball goes out of bounds then the keeper is not a participant in this event.
If the shot is accurate and all conditions are equal, and the Keeping skill of a keeper is equal to the Shooting skill of a forward, then the keeper’s chance of making a save is 50% higher than the forward’s chance of scoring. However, there usually are several additional modifiers of outcome for this event:
1. The height at which a ball enters the goal—the higher the entry point, the less chance (as much as 50% lower) a keeper has to make a save.
2. Shot velocity. The higher the shot velocity, the less chance (as much as 33% lower) a keeper has to make a save; the lower the shot velocity, the higher chance (as much as 50% higher) a keeper has to make a save.
3. Shot type. In the case of a penalty shot, the probability that a save will be made is reduced by 30%. In addition, the keeper has to correctly guess the direction of the shot. If the keeper does not guess correctly, the opponent scores, without any compilation of probabilities. The actual probability that a save will be made, in the case of a penalty shot, is about 20%. In the case of a free kick, if an opponent shoots through the wall and the ball changes direction, then the probability that a save will be made is reduced by 67%. If the opponent shoots over the wall, the probability is reduced by 50%. Otherwise the probability is reduced by 10%.
4. Distance. If an opponent shoots from afar, then the probability that a save will be made is increased by 200% or more. With increasing distance, the probability of a save increases. -
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